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G2 Esports vs. Fnatic: 2021 LEC Spring Split betting analysis

The biggest rivalry in European League of Legends is back as G2 Esports faces Fnatic for the first time in 2021.

The history between the two organizations has always been intense, but in 2021 it has taken a step up. With former Fnatic veteran Martin “Rekkles” Larsson leaving to play for G2 in 2021, there will be a lot of motivation for Fnatic to take down G2. Fnatic has been standing in the shadow of G2 for the past few seasons and will be trying overcome them in 2021, now without Rekkles.

So far this season, G2 is looking scary after adding Rekkles. Despite losing big name Luka “Perkz” Perković to Cloud9 in the offseason, G2 is looking like a team that could potentially become stronger than ever this year. Even though Rekkles is new with the team, he already seems to gel with the whole squad and the results are showing.

G2 is sitting at a 5-1 record before going up against Fnatic, only losing to Schalke 04, which was very unexpected. G2 still has some shaky moments, but that’s nothing out of the usual compared to previous years. G2 still thrives in chaos and seems to control that chaotic gameplay very well. With Rekkles, the team has gotten a more stable player it can always rely on to have a solid performance. If the growth of G2 continues throughout the split, it will be very hard for any team in Europe to keep up.

Looking at Fnatic, the team has had a shakier start to the split. With two new players in bot laner Elias “Upset” Lipp and mid laner Yasin “Nisqy” Dinçer, Fnatic has a lot of synergies that needs to be built up. So far, Fnatic is sitting as a middle-pack team with a 3-3 record. This result isn’t ideal for a team like Fnatic, but the players clearly need more time with each other before performing at a peak level.

Fnatic struggled the most during the first week of LEC, losing to both Misfits and Rogue. Since then, the squad has picked it up to take down Schalke 04, Vitality, and Astralis. Fnatic still needs to prove themselves against a top-tier team and beating G2 would achieve that.

On paper, Fnatic seems to be outmatched in almost every position but crazier upsets have been pulled off in the LEC before.

Bwipo

G2 Esports vs. Fnatic rosters

G2 Esports roster: 

  • Top – Martin “Wunder” Hansen
  • Jungle – Marcin “Jankos” Jankowski
  • Mid – Rasmus “Caps” Winther
  • Bot – Martin “Rekkles” Larsson
  • Bot – Mihael “Mikyx” Mehle

Fnatic roster: 

  • Top – Gabriël “Bwipo” Rau
  • Jungle – Oskar “Selfmade” Boderek
  • Mid – Yasin “Nisqy” Dinçer
  • Bot – Elias “Upset” Lipp
  • Bot – Zdravets “Hylissang” Galabov

G2 Esports favored to take down rivals from Fnatic in LEC

Based on the previous year’s results and the individual skill on both rosters, there is no doubt that G2 should be considered the favorite in this match. G2 is the defending champion and has consistently been able to take down Fnatic in previous years. Now that G2 has Rekkles, Fnatic seems weaker on paper. Fnatic will have to pull out an upset to win this match, but since it’s early in the season, it’s by no means impossible.

Going in as favorites, a win for G2 gives odds 1.46 while a win for Fnatic gives odds of 2.52.

The clash between G2 Esports and Fnatic kicks off on February 6.